Ensemble-based parameter estimation in a coupled GCM using the adaptive spatial average method

Publication Year
2014

Type

Journal Article
Abstract
Ensemble-based parameter estimation for a climate model is emerging as an important topic in climate research. For a complex system as a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model, the sensitivity and response of a model variable to a model parameter could vary spatially and temporally. Here, we propose an adaptive spatial average (ASA) algorithm to increase the efficiency of parameter estimation. Refined from a previous spatial average method, the ASA uses the ensemble spread as the criterion for selecting “good” values from the spatially varying posterior estimated parameter values; the “good” values are then averaged to give the final global uniform posterior parameter. In comparison with existing methods, the ASA parameter estimation has a superior performance: faster convergence and enhanced signal-to-noise ratio.
Journal
Journal of Climate
Volume
27
Issue
11
Pages
4002–4014
Date Published
06/2014
ISSN Number
08948755